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January 2019
Predictions for Next Month
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Regional Predictions ?
Regional trends mirror national predictions. All regions are budgeting for a year-over-year increase, and all but the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic anticipate erosion from December. The Southern region has the highest expectations year-over-year, but still anticipate performance to be slightly below December’s strong results.
% Change
Absolute Change
% Change
Absolute Change
National Profitability Predictions
Nationally, January is predicted to be strong on a year-over-year basis, and down slightly from December 2018. EBITDA margins are budgeted to rise about 200 bps over January 2018. A major trend of 2018 was that hospitals began to better control expenses, and this favorable budget for January is a likely continuation of that optimism.
Unless noted, figures are actuals and medians expressed as percentage change
Unless noted, figures are actuals and medians expressed in basis points
Month Over Month
Year Over Year
Year Over Year Distributions (Click to enlarge)
Operating EBITDA Margin
(4.3%)
29.8%
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Operating Margin
(10.9%)
29.2%
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Month Over Month
Year Over Year
Year Over Year Distributions (Click to enlarge)
Operating EBITDA Margin
(49.5)
206.0
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Operating Margin
(53.0)
105.5
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Profitability Prediction % Change
Profitability Prediction Absolute Change
By Region
National Predictions
By Bed Size
Resources and Comments
Bed Size Predictions
As with the national trends, all bed-size cohorts are budgeting an improvement in January over last year, with mixed performance relative to December. Hospitals with bed sizes between 100-199 and more than 500 are expecting EBITDA growth from December, with the 100-199 cohort being the most aggressive. The smallest hospitals continue to be conservative, expecting almost no year-over-year growth and a slight decline from December 2018.
% Change
Absolute Change
% Change
Absolute Change
By Region
National Predictions
By Bed Size
Resources and Comments
©2018 Kaufman, Hall & Associates, LLC
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